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2024-12-13 04:30:16

Spot gold rose by 1.5% in the day to $2,672.85 per ounce.At the beginning of the session, most US stocks of industry ETFs fell, while semiconductor ETFs fell by 1.12%, technology ETFs and banking ETFs fell by at least 0.3%, network stock index ETFs rose by over 0.2%, and energy ETFs and optional consumption ETFs rose by about 0.8%.Jincai Internet: It is planned to establish a joint venture with Qingdao Zhongcai Fund. Jincai Internet announced that the company plans to sign a strategic cooperation agreement with Qingdao Zhongcai Fund to jointly establish a joint venture company Yidong Future Digital Intelligence Technology Co., Ltd. The registered capital of the joint venture company in the future is 170 million yuan, of which 138.14 million yuan is subscribed by Qingdao Zhongcai Fund in cash, accounting for 81.26% of the registered capital; The company subscribed for a capital contribution of 31.86 million yuan in the form of equity, that is, the capital contribution was 31.86 million yuan based on the appraisal of 100% equity of Fangxin Technology, accounting for 18.74% of the registered capital.


Lianchuang Optoelectronics: The smooth-blade series laser anti-UAV products have carried out preliminary cooperation negotiations with several airports. Lianchuang Optoelectronics said on the interactive platform on December 9 that in the face of "low-slow and small" flying objects represented by drones, there is a lot of room in the domestic low-altitude security equipment market. The company's smooth-blade series laser anti-UAV products are combined with the developed "low-altitude defense system command and control platform application software" and have the ability to install and deploy countermeasures equipment groups. To build a low-altitude defense system for users, we have carried out preliminary cooperation negotiations with several airports, but it is still in the early stage of negotiations, and there is still some uncertainty about whether we can expand the domestic airport security market as expected.The operating rate of Russian refineries increased because the ban was lifted and gasoline exports resumed.In 2025, the profits of the "Big Seven US Stocks" are expected to increase by only 18%. Investors are looking for new targets. It is predicted that the combined profits of the seven technology giants, namely Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA and Tesla, will increase by only 18% in 2025, far lower than the 34% in 2024. Excluding NVIDIA, the biggest beneficiary of AI fanaticism, the combined profits of the other six companies will only increase by 3% in 2025. To this end, investors have begun to look for new investment targets, such as energy and biotechnology units. An 18% profit increase is a good performance for almost all industries, except for these large technology companies. At the same time, the profit increase of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is expected to reach 13%, higher than this year's 10%. In other words, these technology giants will no longer be the growth benchmarks of American companies. Julian McManus, portfolio manager of investment company Janus Henderson, said: "The Big Seven may not be the engine of market growth as it was in the past year." To this end, investors have responded. According to EPFR Global data, in the week ending December 4th, the IT sector suffered the largest capital outflow in six weeks, reaching $1.4 billion, while small-cap stocks attracted $4.6 billion in capital inflow. (Global Market Broadcast)


Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.The main force of China INE crude oil futures just broke through the 530.0 yuan/barrel mark, and the latest price was 530.1 yuan/barrel, up 1.69% in the day.Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the regulation of the Internet and artificial intelligence must strike a balance between stimulating progress and personal data security.

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